Sunday, May 1, 2011

Final 2011 Election Prediction

It's Sunday night and the election is tomorrow. I am a bit uncomfortable with some of my predictions. In Quebec, I did not take into account the incredible NDP surge. I am now thinking that the NDP could win another 20 seats from the Bloc in Quebec. I even think that Mr. Duceppe is in trouble in his own riding. Wow!
Second, I think the Conservatives might win a few seats by splitting the NDP / Liberal vote. As an example, I mentioned in my poem that the seat of Avalon in Newfoundland and Labrador was only decided by 3,000 votes in 2008, and, the NDP got very few votes last time. If this time, the shift is away from the Liberals, to the NDP, the Tories might just win the seat by holding the same voter count that lost them the 2008 election.
Nevertheless, it's getting too late to begin developing a new mathematical algorithm, so, I am going to assume that these seats in total will even out, and therefore, I will leave my predictions about the rest of the country alone.

1 comment:

  1. Awwwwww, you bez a listenin' to too much Hippie music, Elliot.