Saturday, October 8, 2011

Fiscally Conservative With a Strong Social Conscience

What a fascinating election. Once again, we witnessed the opposition party selecting a candidate who could not win, no matter what the electorate thought of the incumbent. Only in this case, the electorate didn’t wipe out the party as they did with the Federal Liberals, rather, they just took them down to another defeat. However, to be fair, this is only the first bad choice in leaders the Ontario Progressive Conservatives have selected. In the case of the Federal Liberals, there was Dion followed by another unelectable, Ignatieff. Nevertheless, did you notice that I predicted the election almost exactly correct (except for 3 seats). I called the 17 NDP winners, but only thought the Liberals would obtain 50 seats, not 53. Still, I am pleased with my formula for predicting winners based on changes in popularity from the previous election.

Let me tell you why I say Hudak can’t win in Ontario unless something changes. Ontario is, and probably always will be “fiscally conservative with a strong social conscience”, as restated for the umpteenth time by former Premier Ernie Eves on one of the TV stations on election night. That’s Hudak’s problem, he does not appear to have a strong enough social conscience for the majority of the voters. I’m a firm believer that actions speak louder than words, and, that’s where Hudak’s exposed. He is a two time cabinet minister under Premier Mike Harris, my 3rd least favourite leader of all time after Nixon, and Bush ‘W’. And, he is proud of it. He’s proud of the fact that Mike Harris chased our doctors south, and chased our nurses away to find new careers. And, his campaign speeches were loaded with the fact that McGuinty was too soft on the teachers. Yikes, when Harris was premier, we were burdened with teacher strike after teacher strike. And of course, our kids suffered from too little time in the classroom. McGuinty has managed to get along with the teachers and bring back the nurses. Now that’s been pleasant.

If the PC’s want to stick with Hudak as their leader, they must spend this minority session of government rebuilding Tim Hudak’s social conscience and continuing to distance themselves from the Mike Harris wars on teachers and nurses. Looking at the new Ontario map, they already own the rural vote, now, they must try and show the city folk their kinder and gentler side.

Personally, I don’t think they can do it. But, I’ve been wrong before, but, not of course, in terms of predicting the election results on Thursday (that’s two pats on my own back in the same blog).

Tuesday, October 4, 2011

Ontario Provincial Election Results (Prediction)

The election campaign is winding down and I've been stalling this time with my predicted results because of the last minute surge by the NDP in yet another election. However, I don't think I can stall any longer. As in the Federal Election, my predictions are based on the following mathematical calculations. I analyzed the results of the 2007 Provincial Election, and compared them to the last poll results in that campaign. Then, I looked at the current predictions for the 2011 election. For example, the riding of Nippissing was won by the Liberals over the PC by 1% in 2007. Considering that the Liberals are down by greater than 1% and the PC are up by greater than 1%, I predict that the Liberals will lose that seat to the Conservatives.
Like everyone else, I am predicting a Liberal minority government, but not by much......

Sunday, October 2, 2011

Thanksgiving: The Perfect Time for the Brita Vodka vs Grey Goose Test

Everyone will be joining us next Sunday night for Thanksgiving Dinner. And, I was thinking that this might be the perfect time to test out Brother Ace's Theory, which he learned via the internet, that you can buy the cheapest vodka and after filtering it through a Brita type carbon filter, wind up with the equivalent taste of a premium vodka.

Here are the stats on the competiting vodkas:
In the Grey corner, from France, it's Grey Goose. Cost: $~$47 per 750ml at the LCBO in Mississauga
And, in the white corner, from Canada, it's Polar Ice. Cost~$26 per 750ml at the LCBO in Mississauga
By the way, the Ace claims you should filter it three times to achieve perfection.
The test will work as follows:
After filtering, I will place both Vodkas in decanters. When the guests arrive, approximately 25 people, of which there are 20 drinkers, each participant will take a shot from decanter 1 and then decanter 2, and then 1 again or 2 again if they can't decide. At some point, I trust that every participant will have an opinion, and will place a vote. If you want to try this at your Turkey Day celebration, please do so and let me know what your results were.
Now I'm excited.