Thursday, May 22, 2014

Ontario Election By The Numbers May 22 Poll (Forum Research)

The latest poll, released this morning, conducted by Forum Research suggests that the Liberals are increasing their lead against the Conservatives based on a comparison to last weeks' EKOS Research poll, and last weeks' Forum Research poll. Both parties gained a bit at the expense of the NDP.
Here is how the numbers stand now:

Based on these numbers, our seat by seat analysis suggests that one of the 2 Liberal/Conservative toss up seats can now be confidently moved to the Liberal caucus, meaning that, if the election was held today, here is what the seat count would look like:

Another Liberal minority government, and both other party leaders should be worried about their leadership positions post election.

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